新西兰央行咬死不降息,汇率怎么反倒跌了?

2015年10月30日 逸居新西兰





新西兰储备银行刚宣布了,本次OCR不降,保持2.75%,跟市场预期符合。




But Governor Wheeler said "some further reduction in the OCR seems likely" and that the bank would need to run even lower interest rates if the New Zealand dollar continued to rebound. Economists had expected a pause at this decision, which is only accompanied by an eight paragraph statement.

Most expected a final cut to 2.5% with the bank's full December 10 Monetary Policy Statement, which would fully unwind last year's 100 basis points of tightening.


央行行长提到,未来OCR的进一步下跌是很有可能的,市场预期在12月OCR会降至2.5%。




继2014年的4连涨之后,今年OCR已经历了3连跌,我们密切关注12月份是否会出现新的变化。



前天,美联储对外表示,未来的美国和全球经济发展形势相当乐观,并放出了今年12月份再次加息的消息,导致汇率市场再次震动,新西兰元对美元应声下跌。







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