NVFY私有化猜想:回A股股价或翻20倍!

2015年06月29日 美国中文投资网官方微信



NVFY私有化猜想:回A股股价或翻20倍!




近期中概股私有化成风,比如大家熟知的RENN人人网,QIHU奇虎,MOMO陌陌等。究其原因是许多中概股在美国资本市场并未获得正确的认知,从而使得许多发展前景广阔,潜力极好的公司被市场所抛弃;而中国国内资本市场近期虽然大幅回调,但许多具有独特概念的股票依然有着较中概股同类公司有较大溢价,那么从美国市场回到中国,不失为一个理想的选择。


而我们的老朋友,诺华家具(代码NVFY)很有可能加入到私有化行列中,目前该事件正在逐步发酵,先看新闻:



NVFY成立特别委员会考虑潜在投资与收购意向

2015年6月29日洛杉矶讯:诺华家具(股票代码:NVFY)是一家美国生活方式家具设计,生产和分销商,今天宣布公司董事会在2015年6月24日成立一个特别委员会,将针对数家基金和券商发来的问询函进行审核,问询函暗示注资或可能对公司进行收购。


特别委员会成员为NVFY的CFO Sammy Ho先生,以及另外4名独董。他们将对该信函进行评估并深度接触这些潜在投资者或公司收购者。问询函为初步构想,无约束性。


NVFY CEO Jeffrey Wong表示:“收到这些投资人的问询函后,董事会认为成立一个特别委员会很有必要,它可以确保企业在评估这种机会时的适当独立性。目前还处于初期评估,而我们将实时通报进展给投资者,全程都将维持透明。”


中国光大集团旗下光大证券并购部门主管GangCheng认为:“随着中国股市的暴涨,中国国内资本市场变得越发活跃,有着全新概念的公司将得到投资者的青睐,比如诺华家具(NVFY)。”


NVFY董事会以谨慎措辞对外宣称:请公司股东以及其他有意交易本公司股票的投资者知悉,特别委员会尚未作出任何决策,不确保将收到任何最终收购报价,相关协议或交易的执行亦存在变量。除适用法律所规定外,公司无义务提供关于这类问询函的任何最新进展。


*************************NVFY*************************


NVFY一直处于稳定的上升期,他们从OTC市场摸爬滚打,凭借现代化的设计和高质量的产品质量,让公司的销售额稳步增长,从而顺利完成转板至NASDAQ市场,而转板不是终点,它是起点。


从新闻稿中,我们获知NVFY有两方面的利好可能,无论最后是那一种尘埃落定,都必将会对NVFY较低的股价形成一定刺激。


首先,NVFY收到的问询函有可能迎来大投资者。我们知道,任何企业发展壮大,除了自身过硬的业务能力外,外部投资者的投资尤为重要,资本市场始终是‘钱生钱’的游戏,NVYF是家具设计、销售商,一体化的业务就要求他们前期设计投入,产品定型设计,商品库存整理,市场铺货销售,各个管道都需要耗费大量人力物力,如能引来大金主,将让整个公司的销售额、品牌知名度等更上一层楼。


其次,私有化的可能性。如果私有化,则需要将其价值与中国A股同类公司做横向比较,在中国A股两市‘木业家具’板块中,共计25家公司,按市值从大到小排列,主营业务与NVYF最想象的公司名为好莱客,A股代码603898。


我们将好莱客与NVFY的2015年第一季度业绩进行对比:


2015年Q1主要财务资料

诺华家具(NVFY)

好莱客(603898)

营业收入

1.36亿人民币

1.59亿人民币

净利润

992万人民币

509万人民币

EPS

0.49人民币

0.06人民币

PE

4.42倍

572倍

市值

3.114亿人民币

134亿人民币


注:NVFY原始财务数据单位为美元,已按当前汇率换算(1:6.2)为人民币,或存在误差。好莱客(603898)原始财务数据单位为人民币。


从好莱客603的字头来看,这是一支次新股,所以高达572倍的市盈率请不要惊慌,这种股票在中国A股市场比比皆是,而我们的老朋友NVFY却只有不到5倍的市盈率,这个市盈率,在中国A股2000多支股票中,即使是超大蓝筹股也几乎看不到,更不用说NVFY这种小型,蕴含着无穷未知的公司。


而好莱客在A股木业家具板块市值排名第8,净利润排名15,营收排名17,可以说是一个板块中游公司,但在纯收入,EPS等重要指标被NVFY甩出几条街后,这家公司市值居然高达134亿元人民币,是NVFY的60多倍!


更让人惊叹的是,好莱客现价137元人民币,合美元约为20美元,是NVFY将近10倍!可为何财务资料不理想,却有着高出NVFY如此多的溢价?


我们相信NVFY价值被严重低估了!


我们还无法100%确认NVFY是否会引来投资人或者是私有化,但从管理层这样一个动作看,这家公司即将迈入价值重估的道路上。



NVFY三角整理形态中,底部支撑非常可能企稳反弹。








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